NRL Live Penrith Panthers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs National Rugby League Round 16 match will be kick off at Pepper Stadium, Penrith, New South Wales, Australia, Friday 24 June 2016 online, Time 19.50 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Nine, Fox Sports, FOX Sports 2 & FOX Soccer Plus,Premier Sports.
Penrith will look to continue their surge into Top 8 contention while South Sydney are trying to arrest an alarming drop in form that has them staring down the barrel of a bottom four finish.
The Panthers have named an unchanged team from that which rolled Manly. Souths have lost Paul Carter to suspension while outside backs Dane Nielsen, Kirisome Auva’a and Siosifa Talakai are all out. Adam Reynolds returns to the halves forcing Cody Walker to fullback and Alex Johnston to the wing. Aaron Gray also goes to the centres with Greg Inglis back in. Tautalatasi Tasi debuts on the wing. Penrith have Matt Moylan and Josh Mansour returning from Origin duty while Souths have Greg Inglis and Adam Reynolds.
ney have won 43 of 77 games played against Penrith dating back to 1967 and have had the wood on the Panthers in recent years with 5 wins in the last 6 outings. The teams met twice last year with Penrith winning 20-6 at Penrith in Round 17 before the Rabbitohs won 20-16 a month later. The Rabbitohs have won 3 of the last 4 at Penrith. The last three matches have all failed to tally 36 points. Panthers backrower Chris Grevsmuhl made a mid-season move from Souths this year.
Penrith sit 9th on the ladder with a 6-7 record and a -14 differential. They rank 10th in points scored with 19.9 a game while defensively they concede 21.2, 9th in the NRL. Penrith have won 4 of their last 7 and enter this off a dramatic come-from-behind 31-24 win over Manly where they trailed 24-4. Prior to that they lost back-to-back games against the Storm and Titans. The Panthers are 3-1 against teams outside the Top 8. Souths are down to 13th on the ladder with a 5-9 record and a -40 differential, 11th in the NRL. Souths have fallen to 9th in points scored while they are down to 11th in defence, conceding 23.7 points a match. The Bunnies have lost three straight and have conceded more than 20 in eight straight and more than 29 in 6 of their last 8. Against teams ninth and above Souths are 1-5.
Trent Merrin v Sam Burgess. Two high profile players who have been stung this year, both Merrin and Burgess enter this match with plenty to prove. Merrin was dumped from the New South Wales team this year and despite a huge workload that has seen him average 139m and 33 tackles a game, his two tries and no assists reflect a downturn in his attacking impact. Burgess has seen his form fall through the floor in recent weeks with his handling a major issue. Whichever star lifts here will get their team home.
Penrith are 6-7 ATS while they are 7-6 under. Souths are the worst cover team in the NRL with a 4-10 ATS record while they are 9-5 over. Penrith are 1-1 during the Origin period while their win rate has risen 5% during the Origin period. Souths have dropped all three games this Origin period though since 2012 their win rate has risen 8.57%. Souths have won and covered just 1 of their last 9 as an underdog and 1 of their last 8 after conceding 30 points. Souths have gone over in 9 of the last 13 when the total was 39.5 or more. None of the last seven night games at Penrith have topped 45 with five failing to top 34. The under is 60-46 since 2012 when a home favourite scored 30 plus the week prior. The under drops from 53% to 47% during the Origin period and is 10-13 this year. Favourites during the Origin period cover 55% of matches compared to 47% during the rest of the regular season and this season are 14-9 ATS.. The under hits at just 44% when teams conceded 25-plus the week prior compared to 53% during the remainder of the year.
Penrith have come back from 3 of 7 halftime deficits while Souths are a perfect 4-0 when leading at the break.
South Sydney are seriously a very bad football team, potentially the second worst in the NRL. They were downright awful against Parramatta. Penrith took a while to get going against Manly but showed what they can do to a poor defensive team after the new halves pairing started to click. The Rabbitohs are awful as an underdog and awful off a poor defensive effort while the Panthers have put teams in the bottom half of the ladder away this year. Penrith should win this with some comfort.
Penrith Panthers: 1 Matthew Moylan 2 Joshua Mansour 3 Waqa Blake 4 Tyrone Peachey 5 Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 6 Bryce Cartwright 7 Nathan Cleary 8 Leilani Latu 9 Peter Wallace 10 Reagan Campbell-Gillard 11 Isaah Yeo 12 Trent Merrin 13 Suaia Matagi.
Interchange: 14 Sitaleki Akauola 15 Jeremy Latimore 16 Christopher Grevsmuhl 17 Moses Leota
South Sydney Rabbitohs: 1 Cody Walker 2 Alexander Johnston 3 Greg Inglis 4 Aaron Gray 5 Tautalatasi Tasi 6 Luke Keary 7 Adam Reynolds 8 Thomas Burgess 9 Cameron McInnes 10 Nathan Brown 11 John Sutton 12 Kyle Turner 13 Samuel Burgess.
Interchange: 14 Jason Clark 15 Patrice Siolo 16 Jack Gosiewski 17 David Tyrrell 18 Damien Cook 19 Edward Murphy