NRL Live Newcastle Knights vs South Sydney Rabbitohs National Rugby League Round 25 match will be kick off at Hunter Stadium, Newcastle, New South Wales, Australia, Sunday 28 August 2016 online, Time 16.00 pm (AEDT) and its broadcast on Channel Nine, Fox Sports, FOX Sports 2 & FOX Soccer Plus,Premier Sports.
Souths will look to continue their late-season run of form with a road clash against the Knights on old boys day in Newcastle.
There are more mass changes at Newcastle with Nathan Ross, Danny Levi, Will Pearsall and Mickey Paea all out. Jarrod Mullen, Pat Mata’utia, Sione Mata’utia and Cory Denniss come into the side. South Sydney are unchanged.
Newcastle have won 25 of 38 against South Sydney but the Rabbitohs have won six straight since Michael Maguire arrived at Redfern with the last three wins coming by a combined score of 150-22. This is the first meeting at Newcastle since 2012 when the Bunnies won 18-6. Newcastle hold a 16-3 all-time advantage at Hunter Stadium. Alex Johnston has seven tries in three games against the Knights.
Not much more can be said about Newcastle who have just a win and a draw all year and have put together a -471 differential on the worst attack and defence of the NRL era. The Knights have conceded at least 26 points in 8 of their last 9. They have not won since Round 9 and have lost their last five by an average of 24.4 points. South Sydney have won their last two but are locked in 13th with a 7-15 record and a -116 differential, third worst in the NRL. Over the last three weeks the Bunnies beat the Sharks at home, lost to the Storm by a point away and hammered the Warriors at Mt Smart. Souths have scored 14 or less in 6 of their last 7.
Jake Mamo v Greg Inglis. Mamo is only a fair player but the Knights have almost no speed or ability to score out wide so he carries a heavy burden. Inglis is starting to show some of his old form and will be after a big finish to the year.
Newcastle are 8-14 ATS with an 11-11 total record while South Sydney are 8-14 ATS with a 12-10 over number. Souths have covered three straight while the Knights have covered just 1 of their last 5. Newcastle have gone under in 5 of their last 6. South Sydney are 2-1 with Damien Cook as the starting hooker this year with that loss a one-point defeat to Melbourne. Home underdogs of 6.5 or more in the final seven rounds of the year are 35-20 ATS with a 32-23 over number while double digit home underdogs are 16-11 ATS with a 17-10 over record. Road favourites off three straight covers are 20-13 ATS since 2013
It may be old boys’ day at Newcastle but with South Sydney finding their feet with Damien Cook at hooker this could get ugly. The Bunnies have whacked the Knights by 40-plus in three straight and those scars are hard to overcome. Souths and the over seem very good bets.
Newcastle Knights: 1 Jake Mamo 2 Cory Denniss 3 Dane Gagai 4 Peter Mata’utia 5 Brendan Elliot 6 Jarrod Mullen 7 Trent Hodkinson 8 Sam Mataora 9 Tyler Randall 10 Korbin Sims 11 Sione Mata’utia 12 Mitch Barnett 13 Jeremy Smith.
Interchange: 14 Josh King 15 Daniel Saifiti 16 Jacob Saifiti 17 Pat Mata’utia
South Sydney Rabbitohs: 1 Greg Inglis 2 Alex Johnston 3 Hymel Hunt 4 Aaron Gray 5 Joe Burgess 6 Cody Walker 7 Adam Reynolds 8 George Burgess 9 Damien Cook 10 Tom Burgess 11 John Sutton 12 Kyle Turner 13 Sam Burgess.
Interchange: 14 Jason Clark 15 Jack Gosiewski 16 Angus Crichton 17 Nathan Brown 18 Cameron McInnes 19 David Tyrell 20 Zane Musgrove